John Sickles’ 2003 Top Prospects, Revisited
John Sickles is a baseball analyst who mainly focuses on minor league players and prospects. He recently revisited his Top 50/50 hitters and pitchers of 2003 to see how well he predicted their future performance. A quick look at the Top 50 pitchers shows a disturbing trend. Can you spot it?
- Jesse Foppert, RHP, Grade A-, 2 win shares, ruined by injuries
- Francisco Rodriguez, RHP, 63 win shares
- Rich Harden, RHP, 37 win shares
- Jerome Williams, RHP, 20 win shares, then lost velocity, stagnated
- Kurt Ainsworth, RHP, injuries
- Rafael Soriano, RHP, 24 win shares
- Adam Wainwright, RHP, 24 win shares
- Gavin Floyd, RHP, 2 win shares, struggled to establish himself
- Jeremy Bonderman, RHP, Grade B+, 40 win shares
- Scott Kazmir, LHP, 45 win shares
- Ricardo Rodriguez, RHP, 7 win shares, injuries, inconsistency
- Aaron Heilman, RHP, 26 win shares
- Macay McBride, LHP, 4 win shares, looking for a role
- Brian Tallet, LHP, 11 win shares
- Billy Traber, LHP, 4 win shares
- Colby Lewis, RHP, 2 win shares, major command issues
- Jason Arnold, RHP, lost velocity, topped out in Triple-A
- Clint Nageotte, RHP, control problems
- Ryan Hannaman, LHP, injuries
- John VanBenschoten, RHP, injuries
- Kris Honel, RHP, injuries, loss of velocity, etc.
- Ben Kozlowski, LHP, injuries, a good Triple-A pitcher though
- Jason Young, RHP, injuries
- Sean Burnett, LHP, injuries
- Jon Figueroa, LHP, injuries
- Joel Hanrahan, RHP, erratic career, still trying to get established
- Boof Bonser, RHP, 11 win shares
- Johan (Ervin) Santana, RHP, 23 win shares
- Andy Sisco, LHP, 7 win shares in ‘05 then fell apart with control problems
- Bobby Basham, RHP, injuries
- Angel Guzman, RHP, injuries, still trying to get established
- Joe Valentine, RHP, control problems
- Seong Song, RHP, Triple-A pitcher
- Franklyn German, RHP, 7 win shares
- Dontrelle Willis, LHP, 71 win shares
- Don Levinski, RHP, injuries
- Dewon Brazelton, RHP, 2 win shares
- Dustin McGowan, RHP, 11 win shares
- Zach Greinke, RHP, 24 win shares
- John Patterson, RHP, Grade B, 19 win shares
- Kenny Nelson, RHP, lost velocity
- Cliff Lee, LHP, 35 win shares
- Jimmy Gobble, LHP, 19 win shares
- Andrew Brown, RHP, 4 win shares
- Mike Nicolas, RHP, disappeared due to control problems, injuries
- Luke Hagerty, LHP, injuries
- John Rheinecker, LHP, 3 win shares
- Taylor Buchholz, RHP, 5 win shares
- Travis Foley, RHP, a good Double-A reliever
- Mike Gosling, LHP, 2 win shares, injuries
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